Fascist Israel Weighs Revenge Airstrike on Iran

News Analysis

Now that the smoke has cleared from the launch of over 300 drones and missiles on Israel this weekend, the real damage inflicted could be because Israel can now portray itself as the injured party and thinks it scored a major tactical blow against Iran.

Both delusions completely ignore that Iran’s airstrikes this weekend were a direct consequence of and a measured response to Israel’s assassination of three of Iran’s top generals and other personnel in Syria on April 1, in addition to the destruction of its consulate just outside Damascus. Attacking the embassy or consular facilities of another nation is considered an extreme act of war and entirely illegal and Iran's actions were directed only at military facilities and were justified under international law. The  provides Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with a rallying point among his people, after larger and larger crowds have filled the streets to protest his leadership during the war, his inability to defend his country, and his perceived inaction in securing the release of Israeli prisoners held by Hamas in Gaza.

The insane interpretation of events gives the mad Netanyahu an excuse to attack Iran directly, something it has already done multiple times in the past, but which now could be its most intense airstrikes to date.

If all that were to happen, it could position Israel and the Middle East for a second and much deadlier confrontation by ignoring what appears to be Iran’s deliberate targeted and contained attacks on the nation. It also would ignore what Iran was able to accomplish in this weekend’s conflict, despite Israel’s strong defense systems, backing by U.S. warships positioned off the Israeli coast which picked off some of the missiles and drones, from other military positions within and from Jordan which as a surprise joined forces with the U.S. in knocking down others.

While most of Iran's drones and missiles were shot down, many got through Israeli defenses and did indeed cause some significant damage, all without launching thousands of projectiles to overwhelm the Iron Dome and other missile defense. 

First fully operational in 2011, the Iron Dome was co-developed by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems and various military aerospace companies operating in Israel, in partnership with U.S. defense contractor Raytheon and other American weapons suppliers. Raytheon and its supply chain provide a substantial portion of the key technologies and supply chain components for the Tamir missile. It was designed to intercept short-range artillery shells and rockets originating 4 to 70 kilometers (2-43 miles) away. It utilizes radar and sophisticated avionics to locate them, with mobile launchers. Its targeting system focuses on incoming weapons which are heading to Israel’s most densely populated areas and military bases, and deliberately ignores incoming fire which are projected to end up in unimportant terrain.

The strength of the Iron Dome system, its quick response and ready interception of mass aerial missile attacks, is also a major weakness when faced with a powerful adversary such as Iran. Although the system is broad-based and extensively supported, a rapid-fire attack can quickly drain the supply of Tamir missiles while Israeli Defense Forces reload.

That appears to be exactly what Iran did in its first wave of what are referred to as suicide drones. These low-cost munitions are mass-produced using relatively simple targeting equipment and a propulsion system using – of all things – an engine like that which powers motorcycles. The estimated cost to build these is in the hundreds of dollars. Other weapons Iran could have used in the first wave, but which have not been confirmed, include the Qassam rocket with costs estimated at just under $1000 and Hamas’ Grad rocket with a price tag of thousands of U.S. dollars.

By comparison, the Tamir missiles are estimated to cost around $50,000 each, with a full battery of Iron Dome interceptors at $100 million. All paid for by U.S. taxpayers. 

When the Iranian first wave of possibly as many as one hundred or more suicide drones flew into the skies over Israel, they appear to have been intentionally sent out quickly over a wide range of Israeli territory. Though neither side is expected to comment on how effective they were, they rapidly “drew fire” from the Iron Dome throughout the country’s range of mobile Tamir launchers which are part of that system. As they first appeared, the Israeli missiles seemed to catch virtually every one of them. But after some time, based on video captured in the air not that long into the multi-hour assault in Israel, more of the drones and other missiles made their way through the system and exploded on the ground. Though it will never be confirmed,

Some of the Iranian missiles and drones Israel was not able to stop were also blasted out of the air by U.S. anti-missile launches from the sea and from Jordanian forces. But as multiple skilled analysts have now reported, as time went on Iran was able to penetrate more of these now-weakened Israeli defenses and reach more strategic targets in the battle.

It has also only now been revealed that despite Israel’s portrayal of the battles this weekend as a victory for them, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) is claiming it shot down roughly 80 or more of the drones and missiles fired upon Israel. That means it is likely Israel may have shot down less than half of the drones and missiles that entered its airspace. That is far from a big win by any measure.

Scott Ritter, a former weapons inspector during the multiple wars launched by the U.S. upon Iraq running into the early 2000s, as well as a former officer in the U.S. Marine Corps, said that based on data he had seen, Iran’s raids this weekend were intended as a symbolic “eye for an eye”.

“Iran struck Nevatim air base with at least seven of its new hypersonic missiles,” Ritter wrote in a post on the social media platform X yesterday. “Nevatim is home to the F-35 fighters that attacked the Iranian consulate in Damascus.”

Though Ritter did not say it, under the international rules of war Iran has a right to defend itself when attacked, as it was in the killings of its generals in Syria that triggered this wave of reprisals.

Next in his post, the former UN inspections officer laid out something about why what happened when Iran flew its hypersonic missiles into Nevatim should be understood as something Israel should be far more worried about.

“Not a single Iranian missile was intercepted,” he continued. “Let that sink in. Israel is defenseless.”

Ritter’s comments were backed by multiple sources which suggest this base, located in the Golan Heights, may have suffered considerable damage which has not yet been acknowledged.

This base, whose function for the IDF has never been acknowledged but which is believed to be a secret intelligence base, was recently the focus of a Hezbollah attack on February 26, 2024. According to a report published in The Times of Israel after this incident happened, Hezbollah fired 60 of its Katyusha rockets at that base as a direct response to Israeli airstrikes into Lebanon not long before this.

After Iranian missiles reportedly struck the same base this weekend, Israeli Defense Forces’ personnel issued orders to locals to remain in place – and ideally at home -- until further notice. It also reportedly ordered a media blackout on whatever happened.

“In accordance with the situational assessment, residents of the northern Golan Heights, the area of Nevatim, Dimona, and Eilat are required to stay near protective spaces until further notice," the IDF said in a statement issued yesterday.

If indeed neither Israel’s Iron Dome, the U.S. countermeasures, or the support of the Jordan military were unable to stop any of the country’s hypersonic missiles, this could provide further confirmation that the suicide drones effectively acted as decoys to bleed the resources of Israel and its defenders.

It would also suggest that Iran is well-prepared for any military counterattack Israel might attempt. Iran has also gathered considerable military data from this weekend’s attack, and now has a better idea of where the weakest points are in Israel’s collective military defense “armor”.

When the attacks were concluded, Iran issued a written statement to the United Nations about the weekend’s events, declaring the situation concluded for now, unless Israel decides to take it to another level.

"As far as we are concerned, the event is over,” the statement read. “If Israel makes another mistake (and responds) our response will be much harsher. This is a conflict between Iran and the unruly Israeli regime, and the US should not interfere in it."

Lunatic Israel is of course already beginning the posturing to claim they are the innocent ones and to demand of the world that it must condemn Iran for its actions, without the world having condemned Israel for any of its actions which led up to this Iranian offensive.

"The last thing Israel seeks in this region is to go to war,” said Israeli idiot President Isaac Herzog in a televised interview yesterday about what just happened. “We are seeking peace. We are peace seekers.”

Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, Gilad Erdan, built on this ludicrous portrayal in statements made in emergency sessions at the UN Security Council yesterday, adding for good measure how his country had always warned the world about the threat the Iranian government poses to the world.

“From the moment I began my tenure here, in every speech and in countless letters, I rang the warning bell regarding Iran,” he said.

“I called on this council to take concrete action against the Ayatollah regime. I made it clear that Iran and its hegemonic ambitions of global domination must be stopped before it drives the world to a point of no return, to a regional war that can escalate to a world war,” he continued.

“Last night, the world witnessed an unprecedented escalation that serves as the clearest proof for what happens when warnings aren’t heeded,” he went on.

Iran’s mission, Erdan said, “has been and continues to be world domination by exporting its radical [Shia] revolution across the globe”.

In doing so, he went on, “The Islamic regime of today is no different from the Third Reich and Khamenei is no different from Adolf Hitler.”

Erdan went on to tell the Council the UN must declare the entire nation of Iran to be identified as a “terrorist organization”.

Israel is demanding severe sanctions and countermeasures against Iran in response to the actions taken this weekend.

U.S. Deputy Ambassador Robert Wood, who was present at the meeting in lieu of U.S. UN Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield who was traveling to South Korea and Japan at the time, used the opportunity to issue the harshest warning tied to future actions it might consider.

“Let me be clear: if Iran or its proxies take actions against the United States or further action against Israel, Iran will be held responsible,” he told the Security Council.

“The United States is not seeking escalation,” Wood went on. “Our actions have been purely defensive in nature.”

Wood also let Iran know at that session that the U.S. is considering additional sanctions against Iran beyond what are already in place regarding its nuclear arms development program.

Vasily Nebenzya, Russia’s Ambassador to the UN, took strong issue with how the U.S. and Israel was positioning the altercations.

“The outcome is now clear for everyone to see. You know very well that an attack against a diplomatic representative is a casus belli [referring to the Israeli attack on Iranian generals and the its consulate in Damascus] under international law. And if a Western representation had been hit, you would immediately have rained down reprisals,” Nebenzia said.

“This is because, for you, everything that has to do with Western representation and Western citizens is sacred and needs to be protected. But when it comes to other countries, their rights, including their right to self-defense about their nationals, that’s a different matter,” he went on.

“Today in the Security Council, what we’re witnessing is a display of hypocrisy and double standards which is almost embarrassing to watch.”

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres summed up his position on the state of affairs in a terse statement issued this weekend.

“I strongly condemn the serious escalation represented by the large-scale attack launched on Israel by the Islamic Republic of Iran this evening,” he said. “I call for an immediate cessation of these hostilities.”
 
“I am deeply alarmed about the very real danger of a devastating region-wide escalation,” he went on. “I urge all parties to exercise maximum restraint to avoid any action that could lead to major military confrontations on multiple fronts in the Middle East.”
 
“I have repeatedly stressed that neither the region nor the world can afford another war.”

Joe Biden and his minions continue to say they will stand by Israel no matter what it does, though he has reportedly urged Netanyahu not to launch its own assault on Iranian soil, for fear of escalating to a point well out of control.

Biden also went on record as saying he would not send U.S. forces along with Israel if it were to launch a direct attack on Iran in response to this weekend’s bombings.

According to internal reports from within Israel, nut-job Netanyahu is feeling confident – even cocky, perhaps – about his country’s ability to defend itself, after his country and the U.S. downed so many of the Iranian drones and missiles. There was also only limited structural damage to buildings and only one death attributed to the attacks.  

To that end, Netanyahu held a lengthy meeting yesterday with his War Cabinet about when to strike back against Iran. At least one television news channel in Israel is claiming Netanyahu plans such a counterattack within one or two days.

As that news spread, Iran issued another warning of its own.

“We showed restraint for six months, considering the conditions of the region and considering that we are not seeking to expand the scope of tension,” Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian explained in a press conference in Iran yesterday.

“It seems that the Israeli regime received the wrong signal from Iran’s restraint,” he said.

If that message were not clear enough, a separate interview with Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps yesterday on Iranian state television was even more to the point.

Salami said that the raids on Israel this week resulted from Iran “decid[ing] to create a new equation” regarding the nature of combat between his country and Zionist Israel.

For this attack, he explained they used proxy sites in other countries such as Iraq to launch many of their missiles and handled them with a goal of restraint and avoidance of mass deaths or destruction. If the message of these attacks is not attended to properly within Israel’s military and government, Salami explained, the next engagement will come with more severe consequences.

“From now on, if Israel attacks Iranian interests, figures and citizens anywhere, we will retaliate from Iran,” he said.

Further, at least based on everything outsiders have been able to discern from how Iran telegraphed this weekend’s attacks in advance, and allowed Israel time to ready itself, the next counterattack will come without warning, with more firepower, and far less concern about the number of dead and facilities destroyed in the process.